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Qudian

Qudian's npls (as % of loans) rose 20.6% yoy to 5.62% in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 17, 2019

Qudian's non-performing loans reached 5.62% of total loans at the end of 2019-06-30, up from 4.66% compared to the previous year....

Qudian's npls (as % of loans) rose 20.6% yoy to 5.62% in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 17, 2019

Qudian's non-performing loans reached 5.62% of total loans at the end of 2019-06-30, up from 4.66% compared to the previous year....

Qudian's market capitalisation (end of period) fell 12.3% to USD 1,957 mil in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - October 23, 2019

Qudian stock traded at JPY 1,645 per share at the end of second quarter of 2019 implying a market capitalization of USD 3,477 mil. ...

Profit Statement Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
Net Interest Income CNY mil 695 887 819
Net Fee Income CNY mil 705 949 1,115
Other Income CNY mil 0 0 0
Total Revenues CNY mil 1,401 1,836 1,935
Operating Profit CNY mil 1,104 1,610 1,726
Provisions CNY mil 229 499 465
Net Profit CNY mil 768 950 1,143
Balance Sheet Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
Interbank Loans CNY mil 0.002 0 0
Customer Loans CNY mil 9,592 12,949 11,876
Total Assets CNY mil 16,253 18,247 18,664
Shareholders' Equity CNY mil 10,821 11,776 12,251
Interbank Borrowing CNY mil 4,274 4,841 3,870
Customer Deposits CNY mil 0 0 0
Issued Debt Securities CNY mil 0 0 0
Ratios Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
ROE % 28.7 33.6 38.1
ROA % 18.8 22.0 24.8
Costs (As % Of Assets) % 7.27 5.25 4.51
Costs (As % Of Income) % 21.2 12.3 10.8
Net Interest Margin % 17.0 20.6 17.8
NPLs (As % Of Loans) % 5.42 4.42 5.62
Provisions (As % Of NPLs) % 112 119 133
Valuation Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
Price/Earnings (P/E) 3.69 4.65 3.60
Price/Book Value (P/BV) 0.849 1.23 1.04
Dividend Yield % 0 0 0
Earnings Per Share (EPS) CNY 7.74 10.5 12.4
Book Value Per Share CNY 33.6 39.6 42.9
Dividend Per Share CNY 0 0 0

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summary Unit Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
income statement                                      
Net Interest Income CNY mil ...                       779 596 718 794 695    
Total Revenues CNY mil ...                       1,186 1,030 1,296 1,231 1,401    
Operating Profit CNY mil ...                       990 807 1,029 1,021 1,104    
Net Profit CNY mil ...                       540 316 724 684 768    
balance sheet                                      
Interbank Loans CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   ... ...   551 0 0 0 0.002    
Customer Loans CNY mil                         8,767 10,113 11,515 10,485 9,592    
Total Assets CNY mil                         19,380 17,793 17,986 16,437 16,253    
Shareholders' Equity CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         9,540 9,844 10,138 10,589 10,821    
Interbank Borrowing CNY mil                         8,489 7,212 7,144 5,486 4,274    
Customer Deposits CNY mil                         0 0 0 0 0    
Issued Debt Securities CNY mil                         0 0 0 0 0    
ratios                                      
ROE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         31.5 13.0 29.0 26.4 28.7    
ROA % ...                       12.4 6.80 16.2 15.9 18.8    
Costs (As % Of Assets) % ...                       4.51 4.79 5.97 4.87 7.27    
Costs (As % Of Income) % ...                       16.5 21.6 20.6 17.0 21.2    
Net Interest Margin % ...                       17.9 12.8 16.1 18.5 17.0    
Interest Income (As % Of Revenues) % ...                       65.7 57.9 55.4 64.5 49.6    
Fee Income (As % Of Revenues) % ...                       34.3 42.1 44.6 35.5 50.4    
Equity (As % Of Assets) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         49.2 55.3 56.4 64.4 66.6    
Loans (As % Assets) %                         45.2 56.8 64.0 63.8 59.0    
NPLs (As % Of Loans) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         4.35 7.33 4.66 4.16 5.42    
Provisions (As % Of NPLs) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         128 101 108 118 112    
valuation                                      
Market Capitalisation (End Of Period) USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           3,827 3,878 2,924 1,670 1,410    
Number Of Shares (Average) mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           305 331 330 320 322    
Share Price (End Of Period) CNY ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           81.7 76.2 57.7 33.9 28.5    
Earnings Per Share (EPS) CNY ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           7.09 6.08 6.76 7.06 7.74    
Book Value Per Share CNY ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         31.3 29.7 30.7 33.0 33.6    
Dividend Per Share CNY ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0    
Price/Earnings (P/E) ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           11.5 12.5 8.54 4.80 3.69    
Price/Book Value (P/BV) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         2.61 2.56 1.88 1.03 0.849    
Dividend Yield % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0    
Earnings Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   274 80.6 43.8 8.66 9.12    
Book Value Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               278 203 165 134 7.52    
income statement Unit Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
income statement                                      
Interest Income CNY mil ...                       1,061 777 895 960 903    
Interest Cost CNY mil ...                       281 181 177 166 208    
Net Interest Income CNY mil ...                       779 596 718 794 695    
Net Fee Income CNY mil ...                       406 434 578 437 705    
Other Income CNY mil ...                       0 0 0 0 0    
Total Revenues CNY mil ...                       1,186 1,030 1,296 1,231 1,401    
Operating Cost CNY mil ...                       196 222 267 210 297    
Operating Profit CNY mil ...                       990 807 1,029 1,021 1,104    
Provisions CNY mil ...                       442 487 259 321 229    
Extra and Other Cost CNY mil ...                       -10.5 -4.14 -34.6 24.6 30.8    
Pre-Tax Profit CNY mil ...                       559 325 805 676 844    
Tax CNY mil ...                       18.8 8.69 80.4 -7.78 76.4    
Minorities CNY mil ...                       0 0 0 0 0    
Net Profit CNY mil ...                       540 316 724 684 768    
growth rates                                      
Net Interest Income Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               55.9 3.68 12.9 -0.087 -10.8    
Net Fee Income Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               292 215 244 9.97 73.5    
Total Revenue Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               96.4 44.5 61.1 3.26 18.1    
Operating Cost Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               8.13 84.8 66.0 -28.2 51.7    
Operating Profit Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               134 36.3 59.9 13.4 11.5    
Pre-Tax Profit Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               53.4 -41.7 32.4 -2.98 51.0    
Net Profit Growth % ... ... ... ... ...               80.1 -32.1 42.4 5.08 42.1    
balance sheet Unit Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
balance sheet                                      
Cash CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         9,085 6,275 4,363 3,938 2,841    
Interbank Loans CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   ... ...   551 0 0 0 0.002    
Customer Loans CNY mil                         8,767 10,113 11,515 10,485 9,592    
Total Assets CNY mil                         19,380 17,793 17,986 16,437 16,253    
Shareholders' Equity CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         9,540 9,844 10,138 10,589 10,821    
Of Which Minority Interest CNY mil                         0 0 0 0 0    
Liabilities CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         9,840 7,948 7,848 5,848 5,433    
Interbank Borrowing CNY mil                         8,489 7,212 7,144 5,486 4,274    
Customer Deposits CNY mil                         0 0 0 0 0    
Issued Debt Securities CNY mil                         0 0 0 0 0    
Other Liabilities CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         1,351 736 704 361 1,159    
asset quality                                      
Non-Performing Loans CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         404 800 537 436 524    
Gross Loans CNY mil                         9,278 10,917 11,515 10,485 9,669    
Total Provisions CNY mil                         519 805 581 516 585    
growth rates                                      
Customer Loan Growth % ... ... ... ...                 81.6 29.9 16.0 -6.86 9.41    
Total Asset Growth % ... ... ... ...                 172 106 58.2 6.97 -16.1    
Shareholders' Equity Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 280 230 188 153 13.4    
ratios Unit Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
ratios                                      
ROE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         31.5 13.0 29.0 26.4 28.7    
ROA % ...                       12.4 6.80 16.2 15.9 18.8    
Costs (As % Of Assets) % ...                       4.51 4.79 5.97 4.87 7.27    
Costs (As % Of Income) % ...                       16.5 21.6 20.6 17.0 21.2    
Net Interest Margin % ...                       17.9 12.8 16.1 18.5 17.0    
Interest Spread % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       13.7 8.58 11.1 12.6 7.37    
Asset Yield % ...                       24.4 16.7 20.0 22.3 22.1    
Cost Of Liabilities % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       10.7 8.14 8.96 9.70 14.7    
Payout Ratio % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0    
Interest Income (As % Of Revenues) % ...                       65.7 57.9 55.4 64.5 49.6    
Fee Income (As % Of Revenues) % ...                       34.3 42.1 44.6 35.5 50.4    
Other Income (As % Of Revenues) % ...                       0 0 0 0 0    
Equity (As % Of Assets) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         49.2 55.3 56.4 64.4 66.6    
Loans (As % Assets) %                         45.2 56.8 64.0 63.8 59.0    
NPLs (As % Of Loans) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         4.35 7.33 4.66 4.16 5.42    
Provisions (As % Of NPLs) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         128 101 108 118 112    
Provisions (As % Of Loans) %                         5.92 7.96 5.05 4.92 6.10    
Cost of Provisions (As % Of Loans) % ...                       17.7 20.6 9.57 11.7 9.12    
other data Unit Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019
other data                                      
Clients mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       62.4 65.3 67.9 70.0 71.8    
E-Clients mil ...                       5.80 5.20 5.10 4.90 5.30    
Total Loan Book CNY mil                         11,200 12,900 15,000 15,300 19,063    
On-balance Sheet Loans CNY mil                         9,278 10,917 11,515 10,485 9,669    
Off-balance Sheet Loans CNY mil                         2,433 2,787 3,485 4,815 9,471    
Off-balance Sheet Loans (As % of Total) %                         78.3 78.4 76.8 68.5 50.3    
On-balance Sheet Loans (As % of Total) %                         21.7 21.6 23.2 31.5 49.7    
Average Tenor months ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           8.80 9.20 9.70 10.2 10.4    
Average Tenor (Referral Business) months ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...    
Average Ticket Size CNY ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           1,400 1,400 1,430 1,416 1,491    
Outstanding Loan per Borrower (Calculated) CNY ...                       1,600 2,099 2,258 2,140 1,824    
Referral Service Fee (As % of Off BS Loans) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0    
Referral Service Fee (As % of Off BS Transactions) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Loan Facilitation Income (As % of Off BS Loans) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           7.16 10.6 14.4 8.14 8.11    
Loan Facilitation Income (As % of Off BS Transactions) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Loss of Guarantee Liability (As % of off-BS Loans) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         19.9 6.62 4.69 2.75 0.453    
Cost of Risk (incl. Off BS Loans) % ...                       14.6 16.2 7.42 8.47 5.33    
Equity (As % of Off- and On BS Loans) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         85.2 76.3 67.6 69.2 56.8    
Revenue per Client CNY ...                       204 198 254 251 264    
Operating Profit per Client CNY ...                       171 155 202 208 208    
Pre-Tax Profit per Client CNY ...                       96.4 62.4 158 138 159    
Loan Origination (On-Balance Sheet) CNY mil ...                       25,145 15,300 16,300 13,100 13,200    
Loan Origination (Off-Balance Sheet) CNY mil ...                     ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Loan Origination (Total) CNY mil ...                     ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Number of Transactions (on-BS) '000 ...                       25,400 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Average Size of Transaction CNY ...                       990 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Loan Facilitation & Servicing Fee CNY mil ...                       149 278 452 338 579    
Processing and Servicing Cost CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         0 0 0 0 0    
Provision for Credit Losses of Contract Assets and Service Fees Receivable CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         104 43.2 36.7 28.6 8.08    
Profit on Off-Balance Sheet Loans CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         45.4 234 415 309 571    
Volume of Off-Balance Sheet Loans CNY mil                         2,433 2,787 3,485 4,815 9,471    
Profit on Off-Balance Sheet Loans (As % of Off-Balance Sheet Loans) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         2.17 8.98 13.2 7.45 7.99    
Profit on Off-Balance Sheet Loans (As % of Pre-Tax Profit) CNY mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         0.081 0.722 0.516 0.458 0.677    

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Qudian's market capitalisation (end of period) fell 12.3% to USD 1,957 mil in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - October 23, 2019

Qudian stock traded at JPY 1,645 per share at the end of second quarter of 2019 implying a market capitalization of USD 3,477 mil. Over the last five years, the stock has depreciated by 36.4 implying an annual average growth of -8.65% In absolute terms, t...

Qudian's share price (end of period) fell 22.7% yoy to CNY 44.6 in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian stock traded at CNY 44.6 per share at the end of second quarter of 2019 implying a market capitalization of USD 1,957 mil. Over the last five years, the stock has appreciated by % implying an annual average growth of 0 %. In absolute terms, the value of the co...

Qudian's share price (end of period) fell 22.7% yoy to CNY 44.6 in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian stock traded at CNY 44.6 per share at the end of second quarter of 2019 implying a market capitalization of USD 1,957 mil. Over the last five years, the stock has appreciated by % implying an annual average growth of 0 %. In absolute terms, the value of the co...

Qudian's price/earnings (P/E) fell 57.9% yoy to 3.60 in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian stock traded at CNY 44.6 per share at the end second quarter of 2019 implying a market capitalization of USD 1,957 mil. Since the end of 2Q2014, the stock has appreciated by % implying an annual average growth of 0 %. In absolute terms, the value of the compan...

Qudian's net interest margin rose 10.6% yoy to 17.8% in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian's net interest margin amounted to 17.8% in the second quarter of 2019, down from 20.6% when compared to the previous quarter. Historically, the bank’s net interest margin reached an all time high of 29.2% in 1Q2017 and an all time low of 12.8% in...

Qudian's price/earnings (P/E) fell 57.9% yoy to 3.60 in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian stock traded at CNY 44.6 per share at the end second quarter of 2019 implying a market capitalization of USD 1,957 mil. Since the end of 2Q2014, the stock has appreciated by % implying an annual average growth of 0 %. In absolute terms, the value of the compan...

Qudian's net interest margin rose 10.6% yoy to 17.8% in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian's net interest margin amounted to 17.8% in the second quarter of 2019, down from 20.6% when compared to the previous quarter. Historically, the bank’s net interest margin reached an all time high of 29.2% in 1Q2017 and an all time low of 12.8% in...

Qudian's net interest income rose 14.1% yoy to CNY 819 mil in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian generated total banking revenues of CNY 1,935 mil in the second quarter of 2019, up 49.3% when compared to the same period of last year and 5.38% when compared to the previous quarter. Historically, the bank’s revenues containing of interest, fee a...

Qudian's net interest income rose 14.1% yoy to CNY 819 mil in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - September 5, 2019

Qudian generated total banking revenues of CNY 1,935 mil in the second quarter of 2019, up 49.3% when compared to the same period of last year and 5.38% when compared to the previous quarter. Historically, the bank’s revenues containing of interest, fee a...

Qudian's equity (as % of assets) rose 16.5% yoy to 65.6% in 2Q2019

By Helgi Library - October 7, 2019

Qudian's Equity reached 65.6% of total assets in the 2Q2019, up from 56.4% for the previous year. As a share of net customer loans, the ratio amounted to 103% at the end of the second quarter of 2019. ...

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Qudian is a Chinese online micro-credit provider, which is backed by Alibaba Group affiliate Ant Financial. The Company was set up in 2014 to facilitate merchandise credit and cash credit to college students on campuses across China. Starting from Nov 2015, Qudian shifted its focus to a broader base of young consumers in China and since Jul 2016, it engaged all borrowers as to its cash and merchandise credit products through online channels. The Company operates through an online platform and all the transaction are facilitated through mobile devices. Borrowers can apply for credit on their mobile phones and receive approval within a few seconds. Approved borrowers are then able to draw down on their cash credit with cash disbursed immediately into their Alipay accounts in digital form. The Company also offers merchandise credit products to finance borrowers’ direct purchase of merchandise offered on its marketplace on installment basis. Its marketplace connects consumers with merchandise suppliers. In 2018, it was offering 14 categories of merchandise from over 1,000 brands covering primarily consumer electronics, home appliances, watches and accessories, sports and outdoor merchandise and luggage. Until the middle of 2019, the Company facilited loans to 76 mil clients with total on- and off-balance sheet loans accounting for RMB 29 bil at the end of June 2019. The Company was listed on the New York Stock Exchange in October 2017 and raised about US$ 900 mil. Phoenix Partners, The Kunlun Group and Ant Financial Services Group were among the largest shareholders in the Company at the end of 2018.

Qudian Logo

Finance

Qudian has been growing its revenues and asset by 285% and 82.5% a year on average in the last 3 years. Its loans and deposits have grown by 67.0% and % a year during that time and loans to deposits ratio reached at the end of 2018. The company achieved an average return on equity of 40.6% in the last three years with net profit growing % a year on average. In terms of operating efficiency, its cost to income ratio reached 20.1% in 2018, compared to 23.0% average in the last three years.

Equity represented 66.6% of total assets or 113% of loans at the end of 2018. Qudian's non-performing loans were 16.7% of total loans while provisions covered some 118% of NPLs at the end of 2018.

Valuation

Qudian stock traded at CNY 28.5 per share at the end of 2018 resulting in a market capitalization of USD 1,410 mil. Over the previous three years, stock price rose by 0% or 0% a year on average. That’s compared to an average ROE of 40.6% the bank generated for its shareholders. This closing price put stock at a 12-month trailing price to earnings (PE) of 3.69x and price to book value (PBV) of 0.849x in 2018.

Risks

Value of the Company dropped some two thirds from its IPO in 2017 while low valuation multiples suggest the market has serious concerns about the Company’s future in spite of its impressive profitability and growth so far. Sustainability of the Company’s business model, a slowdown in the Chinese economy and loan demand and regulatory and competition pressures are among the biggest risks Qudian faces.